The 2025 Australian Federal Election: A Preview

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The 2025 Australian Federal Election: A Preview

2025 Australian federal election  The Tally Room

Introduction

Australia is set to hold its next federal election on May 21, 2025. The election will determine the composition of the 48th Parliament of Australia. The incumbent Australian Labor Party (ALP), led by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, will seek to retain power against the opposition Liberal-National Coalition, led by Opposition Leader Peter Dutton.

Background

The 2022 federal election resulted in a Labor victory, ending almost a decade of Coalition rule. Albanese became Prime Minister, forming a majority government with 77 seats in the House of Representatives. The Coalition, reduced to 58 seats, entered Opposition.

Key Issues

The 2025 election is expected to be fought on a range of issues, including:

  • The economy: Australia is facing significant economic challenges, including rising inflation, interest rates, and a slowing economy. The major parties will propose different approaches to managing the economy.
  • Climate change: Australia is one of the world’s largest emitters of greenhouse gases per capita. The election will likely focus on climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies.
  • Health care: The Australian health system is under strain due to factors such as an aging population and increasing demand for services. The parties will debate policies to improve health outcomes.
  • Education: Australia’s education system is facing challenges related to funding, curriculum, and teacher shortages. The election will feature proposals to address these issues.
  • Social welfare: The welfare system is a key area of debate, with parties proposing different approaches to providing support to vulnerable Australians.

The Major Parties

Australian Labor Party (ALP)

The ALP is a centre-left party that has been in power since 2022. The party’s platform is based on social justice, economic equality, and environmental protection. Key policies include:

  • Investing in renewable energy and reducing carbon emissions
  • Expanding access to affordable health care
  • Increasing funding for education and training
  • Providing support for low-income earners and families

Liberal-National Coalition

The Liberal-National Coalition is a centre-right alliance between the Liberal Party and the National Party. The Coalition’s platform emphasizes economic growth, individual liberty, and national security. Key policies include:

  • Cutting taxes and reducing government spending
  • Deregulating the economy and promoting free markets
  • Increasing defense spending and strengthening border security
  • Supporting traditional family values

Minor Parties and Independents

In addition to the major parties, several minor parties and independents will contest the election. These include:

  • Greens: A left-wing party focused on environmental issues and social justice
  • One Nation: A right-wing party with a strong focus on immigration and national sovereignty
  • United Australia Party: A conservative party that advocates for lower taxes and smaller government
  • Independent candidates: A number of independent candidates will run in various electorates, offering alternative perspectives and policies.

Election System

Australia uses a preferential voting system, where voters rank candidates in order of preference. The candidate who receives a majority of first preference votes is elected. If no candidate receives a majority, the candidate with the lowest number of first preference votes is eliminated and their votes are redistributed to their second preference. This process continues until a candidate receives a majority.

Campaign Dynamics

The 2025 election campaign is likely to be highly competitive. The ALP will seek to build on its 2022 victory and secure a second term in government. The Coalition will aim to regain power and present itself as a viable alternative. Minor parties and independents will also play a role, potentially holding the balance of power in some electorates.

Key Electoral Races

Several key electoral races are likely to determine the outcome of the election, including:

  • Bennelong (NSW): A marginal seat held by the Liberal Party. The ALP will target this seat as part of its efforts to win back seats in Sydney.
  • Wentworth (NSW): A safe Liberal seat that is being contested by independent candidate Allegra Spender. A Spender victory would be a significant upset.
  • Goldstein (Vic): A marginal seat held by the Liberal Party. The Greens are targeting this seat as part of their push to increase their representation in Parliament.
  • Higgins (Vic): A safe Liberal seat that is being contested by independent candidate Zoe Daniel. Daniel is a strong candidate who could potentially unseat the incumbent Liberal MP.
  • Perth (WA): A marginal Labor seat that is being targeted by the Liberal Party. The outcome of this race will be crucial in determining the balance of power in Western Australia.

Conclusion

The 2025 Australian federal election is shaping up to be a closely fought contest. The ALP and the Coalition will battle it out on a range of key issues, while minor parties and independents will play a potentially significant role. The outcome of the election will have major implications for Australia’s future direction.

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